In mid-May 2023, ESRD’s Co-Founder and Chairman Dr. Barna Szabó will deliver a keynote presentation at the ASME VVUQ 2023 Symposium in Baltimore, Maryland, USA. Dr. Szabó’s presentation, entitled “Simulation Governance: An Idea Whose Time Has Come”, will focus on the goals and means of Simulation Governance with reference to mechanical/aerospace engineering practice.
The abstract of the keynote presentation is as follows:
Mathematical models have become indispensable sources of information on which technical and business decisions are based. It is therefore vitally important for decision-makers to know whether or not they should rely on the predictions of a particular mathematical model.
The presentation will focus on the reliability of information generated by mathematical models. Reliability is ensured through proper application of the procedures of verification, validation and uncertainty quantification. Examples will be presented.
It will be shown that mathematical models are products of open-ended evolutionary processes. One of the key objectives of simulation governance is to establish and maintain a hospitable environment for the evolutionary development of mathematical models. A very substantial unrealized potential exists in numerical simulation technology. It is the responsibility of management to establish conditions that will make realization of that potential possible.
In engineering sciences, we classify mathematical models as ‘proper’ or ‘improper’ rather than ‘scientific’ or ‘pseudoscientific’. A model is said to be proper if it is consistent with the relevant mathematical theorems that guarantee the existence and, when applicable, the uniqueness of the exact solution. Otherwise, the model is improper. At present, the large majority of models used in engineering practice are improper. Following are examples of frequently occurring types of error, with brief explanations.
The idea of a digital twin originated at NASA in the 1960s as a “living model” of the Apollo program. When Apollo 13 experienced an oxygen tank explosion, NASA utilized multiple simulators and extended a physical model of the spacecraft to include digital simulations, creating a digital twin. This twin was used to analyze the events leading up to the accident and investigate ideas for a solution. The term "digital twin" was coined by NASA engineer John Vickers much later. While the term is commonly associated with modeling physical objects, it is also employed to represent organizational processes. Here, we consider digital twins of physical entities only.
The software provides a highly reliable and user-friendly production stress analysis tool that will replace the Finite Element Method (FEM) tools and failure criteria the experts currently employ for analyzing bonded joints. The software includes an FEM-based handbook format, which allows non-experts to utilize models prepared by specialists. The handbook problems include built-in failure criteria, geometric and material nonlinearities, and the modern FEM technology provides better error control and the treatment of very large aspect ratios.”
Serving the Numerical Simulation community since 1989 
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